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Mortgage test, high supply to keep cooling B.C. housing prices in 2019, report says

The BC Real Estate Association says new lending rules are still affecting buyers
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(Black Press Media files)

The mortgage stress test is expected to continue to put a damper on any major price increase in B.C.香蕉视频直播檚 housing market throughout 2019, according to the B.C. Real Estate Association.

In a first quarter forecast update released Monday, the association said the test is expected to continue 香蕉视频直播渃onstraining香蕉视频直播 housing demand this year.

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The stress test, introduced at the start of 2018, requires all borrowers to qualify for a mortgage based on either the five-year benchmark rate or their lender香蕉视频直播檚 actual rate plus two per cent, whichever is higher. The change applies to all mortgages, new or renewed, even if the down payment exceeds 20 per cent.

The average price of a home in B.C. stayed mostly steady, up just 0.5 per cent to $716,100, in the first quarter of 2019.

The association expects 80,000 units will sell by the end of the year, compared with 78,345 last year.

Although the province has seen five years of 香蕉视频直播渁bove-trend economic growth,香蕉视频直播 and has the lowest unemployment in Canada 香蕉视频直播 spurring on housing demand 香蕉视频直播 the association said job growth will likely slow down in the coming years.

That shift will push down the province香蕉视频直播檚 gross domestic product from 2.8 per cent to 2.6 per cent in 2019, leading to a slight downturn in housing demand.

That, mixed with the record number of new homes being built this year, will keep any housing shortages at bay.

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katya.slepian@bpdigital.ca

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