President John F. Kennedy stood before Canadian lawmakers elucidating the important relationship between the two countries: 香蕉视频直播淕eography has made us neighbours. History has made us friends. Economics has made us partners.香蕉视频直播�

香蕉视频直播淎nd necessity has made us allies,香蕉视频直播� Kennedy said in a 1961 address to Parliament.

But behind the scenes, the relationship between the charismatic Kennedy and then-prime minister John Diefenbaker was toxic.

With the looming United States election, the future of who will be at the helm of the bilateral relationship remains unclear, but Canada cannot escape the geopolitical pull of its closest neighbour.

While some presidents and prime ministers have been on friendly terms, the shared geography and history hasn香蕉视频直播檛 stopped clashes between others.

香蕉视频直播淲e have a long history of presidents and prime ministers hating each other香蕉视频直播檚 guts香蕉视频直播� and yet the system works,香蕉视频直播� said Aaron Ettinger, a political science professor at Carleton University.

Experts say incompatible personalities won香蕉视频直播檛 irreparably harm the relationship, but it can make it harder for Canada.

香蕉视频直播淚t香蕉视频直播檚 very difficult to operate when you have outright antagonism between the leaders 香蕉视频直播� and that is less a function of ideology and more a function of personality,香蕉视频直播� said Laura Dawson, an expert on Canada-U. S. relations and the executive director of the Future Borders Coalition.

That became clear during the first Trump administration when the former president scrapped the North American Free Trade Agreement. Negotiations of it香蕉视频直播檚 replacement, the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement, were marked by public spats between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and former president Donald Trump.

Trump called Trudeau 香蕉视频直播渨eak香蕉视频直播� and 香蕉视频直播渄ishonest香蕉视频直播� after the prime minister criticized the president香蕉视频直播檚 2018 tariff actions at the G7 summit in Quebec.

Robert Lighthizer, Trump香蕉视频直播檚 trade representative, recounted in his book that U.S.-Canada relations were 香蕉视频直播渁t their lowest ebb since the failed American invasion of Upper Canada during the War of 1812.香蕉视频直播�

The following year there was another blow-up when Trudeau and other NATO leaders appeared to be on video talking about a Trump press conference. The former president called the prime minister 香蕉视频直播渢wo-faced.香蕉视频直播�

While the relationship between the leaders was publicly rocky, behind the scenes CUSMA was successfully negotiated. Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland called the agreement a 香蕉视频直播渧ictory for all Canadians,香蕉视频直播� and experts say it was more moderate than Trump originally threatened.

Whoever takes the White House will be in charge during trade pact香蕉视频直播檚 2026 review.

Trudeau is a political veteran now, Dawson said, and is more prepared for a possible second Trump administration.

香蕉视频直播淲e know that Trump-Trudeau is not a good fit,香蕉视频直播� Dawson said. 香蕉视频直播淏ut I香蕉视频直播檓 sure that Trudeau will figure out a way to make it work.香蕉视频直播�

Most experts say Kamala Harris香蕉视频直播� personality would be a better match with Trudeau. It香蕉视频直播檚 been reported they already have a good relationship and many of their policy goals align. He originally ran on 香蕉视频直播渟unny ways香蕉视频直播� and she kicked off her campaign with 香蕉视频直播渏oy.香蕉视频直播�

The vice-president also spent part of her youth living in Canada, although observers say the impact of her teenage years in Montreal is probably overstated.

香蕉视频直播淗arris would obviously be easier for probably anyone to get along with,香蕉视频直播� Dawson said. 香蕉视频直播淏ut getting along only goes so far.香蕉视频直播�

Harris has been campaigning on her vote against CUSMA, saying it didn香蕉视频直播檛 do enough to protect U.S. workers, and is expected to follow the Biden administration香蕉视频直播檚 Buy American procurement rules.

There香蕉视频直播檚 another outcome to consider: a change in Canadian leadership. A general election must be held by October next year, but it could come sooner if the Liberals lose the confidence of the House.

The Conservatives have long held a lead in the polls amid high inflation, an exodus of Liberal ministers and uncertainty over Trudeau香蕉视频直播檚 political future.

香蕉视频直播淲e have a whole lot of turnover in the works coming up in the next two years between Canada and the United States,香蕉视频直播� Ettinger said. 香蕉视频直播淎nd it香蕉视频直播檚 possible that we have two leaders who have never met one another.香蕉视频直播�

It香蕉视频直播檚 not clear how Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre would get along with either presidential candidate.

Ivan Ivanov, an assistant professor at the University of Ottawa, said Poilievre 香蕉视频直播渋s a professional communicator.香蕉视频直播� The expert in public relations and crisis management said the Conservative leader can be combative 香蕉视频直播� which could hurt or help the bilateral relationship 香蕉视频直播� but it plays well among Canadian voters.

During President Joe Biden香蕉视频直播檚 state visit to Canada last year he met with Poilievre and they discussed Canadian exemptions to Buy America rules, national defence interests and other issues. A photo shared on Poilievre香蕉视频直播檚 social media shows the leaders shaking hands.

However, Ettinger said he doesn香蕉视频直播檛 think we can 香蕉视频直播済lean much about how he personally will interact with other leaders on the international stage.香蕉视频直播�

香蕉视频直播淗e香蕉视频直播檚 a complete cipher.香蕉视频直播�

Poilievre香蕉视频直播檚 promises share some insight. He pledged to match American tariffs on Chinese-produced electric vehicles a few weeks before the Liberal government took action this summer and promised to push Americans on the longstanding softwood lumber dispute.

Poilievre has also been known to use slogans in the Republican lexicon. For example, Poilievre said he will 香蕉视频直播渞eplace woke culture with warrior culture香蕉视频直播� in the military and that 香蕉视频直播渂iological males香蕉视频直播� should not be in women香蕉视频直播檚 sports and change rooms 香蕉视频直播� both talking points were included in multiple speeches at the recent Republican National Convention.

But that doesn香蕉视频直播檛 necessarily make him the better match for Trump, Dawson said.

香蕉视频直播淲e might think that a Poilievre-Trump pairing would be better because he香蕉视频直播檚 got a more ideological fit,香蕉视频直播� Dawson said.

香蕉视频直播淏ut we know that Trump is not a traditional Republican at all.香蕉视频直播�