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Hottest year on record expected as Canada tracks to miss emissions target

European climate agency says this will likely pass last year香蕉视频直播檚 heat as Canada not meeting 2030 target
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FILE - Tourists with an umbrella walk in front of the Parthenon at the ancient Acropolis in central Athens, June 12, 2024. June 2024 was the hottest June on record, according to Europe香蕉视频直播檚 Copernicus climate service on Monday, July 8. (AP Photo/Petros Giannakouris, File)

For the second year in a row, Earth will almost certainly be the hottest it香蕉视频直播檚 ever been.

Meanwhile, Canada香蕉视频直播檚 environment commissioner says the country is still not on track to meet its commitments under the Paris climate agreement.

Ottawa has promised to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to be 40 to 45 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030 but thus far they have only fallen seven per cent below 2005 levels.

In a report tabled today Jerry DeMarco says his office looked at 20 of the 149 measures from the government香蕉视频直播檚 2030 Emission Reductions Plan progress report.

Only nine of those were on track, another nine were facing challenges, and the other two had significant barriers like delays in meeting milestones.

The latest report mirrors many of the findings and concerns DeMarco raised a year ago. However he found the government had moved on the majority of recommendations made in last year香蕉视频直播檚 report.

The report comes as, for the first time, the globe this year reached more than 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) of warming compared to the pre-industrial average, the European climate agency Copernicus said Thursday.

香蕉视频直播淚t香蕉视频直播檚 this relentless nature of the warming that I think is worrying,香蕉视频直播 said Carlo Buontempo, director of Copernicus.

Buontempo said the data clearly shows the planet would not see such a long sequence of record-breaking temperatures without the constant increase of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere driving global warming.

He cited that contribute to exceptionally warm years like last year and this one. They include El Nino 香蕉视频直播 the temporary warming of parts of the Pacific that changes weather worldwide 香蕉视频直播 as well as volcanic eruptions that spew water vapor into the air and variations in energy from the sun. But he and other scientists say the long-term increase in temperatures beyond fluctuations like El Nino is a bad sign.

香蕉视频直播淎 very strong El Nino event is a sneak peek into what the new normal will be about a decade from now,香蕉视频直播 said Zeke Hausfather, a research scientist with the nonprofit Berkeley Earth.

News of a likely second year of record heat comes a day after U.S. Republican Donald Trump, who has called climate change a 香蕉视频直播渉oax香蕉视频直播 and promised to boost oil drilling and production, . It also comes days before the next U.N. climate conference, called COP29, is set to begin in Azerbaijan. Talks are expected to focus on how to generate trillions of dollars to help the world transition to clean energies like wind and solar and avoid more warming.

Also on Thursday, called for increased funds to adapt to global heating and its consequences. It found that the $28 billion spent worldwide to adapt to climate change in 2022 香蕉视频直播 the latest year the data is available 香蕉视频直播 is an all time high. But it香蕉视频直播檚 still far short of the estimated $187 to $359 billion needed every year to deal with the heat, floods, droughts and storms exacerbated by climate change.

香蕉视频直播淓arth香蕉视频直播檚 ablaze,香蕉视频直播 said U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres in a pre-recorded statement marking the report香蕉视频直播檚 release. 香蕉视频直播淗umanity香蕉视频直播檚 torching the planet and paying the price香蕉视频直播 with the vulnerable most affected, he said.

香蕉视频直播淔rankly, there is no excuse for the world not to get serious about adaptation,香蕉视频直播 said UNEP香蕉视频直播檚 director Inger Andersen. 香蕉视频直播淲e need well-financed and effective adaptation that incorporates fairness and equity.香蕉视频直播

Buontempo pointed out that going over the 1.5 degree Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) threshold of warming for a single year is different than the goal adopted in the 2015 Paris Agreement. That goal was meant to try to cap warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) since pre-industrial times on average, over 20 or 30 years.

said that since the mid-1800s on average, the world has already heated up 1.3 degrees Celsius (2.3 degrees Fahrenheit) 香蕉视频直播 up from previous estimates of 1.1 degrees (2 degrees Fahrenheit) or 1.2 degrees (2.2 degrees Fahrenheit). That香蕉视频直播檚 of concern because the U.N. says the greenhouse gas emission reduction goals of the world香蕉视频直播檚 nations still aren香蕉视频直播檛 nearly ambitious enough to keep the 1.5 degree Celsius target on track.

The target was chosen to try to stave off the worst effects of climate change on humanity, including extreme weather. 香蕉视频直播淭he heat waves, storm damage, and droughts that we are experiencing now are just the tip of the iceberg,香蕉视频直播 said Natalie Mahowald, chair of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Cornell University.

Going over that number in 2024 doesn香蕉视频直播檛 mean the overall trend line of global warming has, but 香蕉视频直播渋n the absence of concerted action, it soon will,香蕉视频直播 said University of Pennsylvania climate scientist Michael Mann.

Stanford University climate scientist Rob Jackson put it in starker terms. 香蕉视频直播淚 think we have missed the 1.5 degree window,香蕉视频直播 said Jackson, who chairs the Global Carbon Project, a group of scientists who track countries香蕉视频直播 carbon dioxide emissions. 香蕉视频直播淭here香蕉视频直播檚 too much warming.香蕉视频直播

Indiana state climatologist Beth Hall said she isn香蕉视频直播檛 surprised by the latest report from Copernicus, but emphasized that people should remember climate is a global issue beyond their local experiences with changing weather. 香蕉视频直播淲e tend to be siloed in our own individual world,香蕉视频直播 she said. Reports like this one 香蕉视频直播渁re taking into account lots and lots of locations that aren香蕉视频直播檛 in our backyard.香蕉视频直播

Buontempo stressed the importance of global observations, bolstered by international cooperation, that allow scientists to have confidence in the new report香蕉视频直播檚 finding: Copernicus gets its results from billions of measurements from satellites, ships, aircraft and weather stations around the world.

He said that going over the 1.5 degree Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) benchmark this year is 香蕉视频直播減sychologically important香蕉视频直播 as nations make decisions internally and approach negotiations at the annual U.N. climate change summit Nov. 11-22 in Azerbaijan.

香蕉视频直播淭he decision, clearly, is ours. It香蕉视频直播檚 of each and every one of us. And it香蕉视频直播檚 the decision of our society and our policymakers as a consequence of that,香蕉视频直播 he said. 香蕉视频直播淏ut I believe these decisions are better made if they are based on evidence and facts.香蕉视频直播

香蕉视频直播攚ith a file from Canadian Press





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