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CN says railway can withstand Trump tariffs, expects to rebound in 2025

Canada香蕉视频直播檚 largest railway saw fourth-quarter profits fall by nearly half year over year
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Train cars are seen in an aerial view as workers repair tracks at Canadian National Rail香蕉视频直播檚 Thornton Yard, in Surrey, B.C., on Thursday, August 22, 2024. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck

After a tough 2024 that saw profits drop 21 per cent, the head of Canadian National Railway Co. said the new year is looking brighter 香蕉视频直播 even if U.S. President Donald Trump follows through on his tariff threat.

香蕉视频直播淲hile there may be some impact, it won香蕉视频直播檛 be so significant or prolonged as to cause a recession in Canada or significant inflationary impacts in the U.S.,香蕉视频直播 CEO Tracy Robinson said on Thursday.

香蕉视频直播淲e are assuming a modest lift in the economy.香蕉视频直播

That forecast reflects an optimistic view. On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada projected that 25 per cent tariffs across the board by the U.S. could bring on a recession and boost inflation within the first year of a trade war.

That would also be a harsh followup to a bumpy year for CN.

The country香蕉视频直播檚 largest railway saw fourth-quarter profits fall by nearly half year over year amid lower volumes across virtually all freight segments.

The three-month period saw work stoppages in November at the three largest ports in Canada 香蕉视频直播 Vancouver, Montreal and Prince Rupert, B.C. 香蕉视频直播 that halted container traffic. A long stretch of cold weather struck in December, slowing train speeds.

香蕉视频直播淲inter came early,香蕉视频直播 said chief field operating officer Derek Taylor.

The disruptions also followed a devastating July wildfire in Jasper, Alta.香蕉视频直播 CN香蕉视频直播檚 busiest corridor runs through the mountain town 香蕉视频直播 and a massive work stoppage by workers at CN and rival Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. in August.

香蕉视频直播2024 was a hell of a year,香蕉视频直播 Robinson said. 香蕉视频直播淲e are happy to have it behind us.

香蕉视频直播淲e didn香蕉视频直播檛 deliver growth to the bottom line. We香蕉视频直播檙e not happy with that,香蕉视频直播 she added.

Revenues from container shipments 香蕉视频直播 CN香蕉视频直播檚 biggest segment annually 香蕉视频直播 sagged eight per cent year-over-year last quarter due to the disruptions as well as lower consumer demand. But proceeds from its two other big categories 香蕉视频直播 grain and fertilizers along with petroleum and chemicals 香蕉视频直播 increased four per cent and one per cent, respectively.

The railroad operator notched a record year for grain volumes due largely to big wheat and canola hauls.

The company predicted a bounceback this year in areas ranging from containers to chemicals and plastics.

香蕉视频直播淭he big question is the tariffs,香蕉视频直播 Jeff Windau, an analyst at Edward Jones, said in an interview.

香蕉视频直播淭hat香蕉视频直播檚 the key item which is going to drive 2025 results,香蕉视频直播 he said. 香蕉视频直播淰olume is the key for them, and depending on whether tariffs are implemented and by how much, their volumes could see a hit.香蕉视频直播

Windau added that CN expectations of solid growth in the coming year were 香蕉视频直播渞easonable,香蕉视频直播 but stressed that crucial factors remain unknown.

On Thursday, the company forecasted growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share of between 10 and 15 per cent for 2025 alongside $3.4 billion of capital investment. It also announced a five per cent dividend increase.

香蕉视频直播淲ith the bar now reset after a difficult 2024, much hinges on hitting the new targets provided. Key is that we believe management has the right operating team in place to achieve just that,香蕉视频直播 said RBC Dominion Securities analyst Walter Spracklin.

Net income for the three months ended Dec. 31 dropped 46 per cent to $1.15 billion, down from $2.13 billion in the same period the year before, CN reported.

Fourth-quarter revenue dipped three per cent to $4.36 billion from $4.47 billion a year earlier, the Montreal-based company said.

On an adjusted basis, diluted earnings per share decreased 10 per cent to $1.82 from $2.02 per share, below analysts香蕉视频直播 expectations of $1.96 per share, according to financial markets data firm Refinitiv.





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