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㽶ƵֱIssue-by-issue parliament㽶Ƶֱ: Expert says Liberals need to placate NDP to be effective

Scandals, social issues, racism defined 2019 federal election, SFU prof says
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NDP leader Jagmeet Singh and his wife Gurkiran Kaur wave to supporters on stage at NDP election headquarters in Burnaby, B.C. on Monday, Oct. 21, 2019. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Nathan Denette

All things considered, the Liberal Party should be happy it held onto power Monday night, according to a political science lecturer at Simon Fraser University.

Stewart Prest said given the scandals that seemed to dominate the news cycle for Justin Trudeau, it㽶Ƶֱs impressive they held onto power at all.

㽶ƵֱThey do need to come away from this realizing that something has to change,㽶Ƶֱ Prest said.

Some pundits have blamed the party㽶Ƶֱs loss of 25 seats since last election on its record on climate change: buying the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, but keeping carbon taxes. But Prest disagreed.

In a campaign that㽶Ƶֱs been described as nasty throughout, he said the Liberals provided plenty of non-policy targets such as the photos of Trudeau wearing racist makeup and the SNC-Lavalin affair.

㽶ƵֱEvery government collects baggage along the way, but this government collected a lot of it in a very short amount of time,㽶Ƶֱ he said.

The Conservatives shouldn㽶Ƶֱt feel too good about growing their seat total from 22 to 121, he added, because they were unable to take capitalize on Trudeau㽶Ƶֱs scandals.

Scheer was dogged by his own social missteps, which started when he did not apologize for a 2001 video clip that surfaced of him .

He was also noticeably absent from gay pride parades across the country, and failed to disclose he held dual Canadian-U.S. citizenship despite disparaging other Canadian political figures in the past who also held dual citizenship.

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For the NDP, Prest said the votes they lost in Quebec to the Bloc Québécois are telling.

㽶ƵֱThe difficult question to ask is whether it had to do with [leader Jagmeet Singh㽶Ƶֱs] appearance,㽶Ƶֱ Prest said.

In one instance, while campaigning in Montreal, a man asked Singh to remove his turban to look 㽶Ƶֱmore Canadian.㽶Ƶֱ

The leader㽶Ƶֱs response to the man, as well as to Trudeau㽶Ƶֱs blackface photos, only added to his star power and polling numbers.

㽶ƵֱI think people started to really warm up to him but it seemed like it was too little, too late.㽶Ƶֱ

Cara Camcastle, another political science instructor at SFU, agreed that the NDP didn㽶Ƶֱt create enough momentum to shift the polls in time for voting day.

㽶ƵֱI㽶Ƶֱm not sure how much surging there was. [The] NDP went from 16 to 19 per cent, so I think it was exaggerated.㽶Ƶֱ

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Camcastle said both the NDP and the Greens have an opportunity to affect decision making in the minority government.

㽶ƵֱThey㽶Ƶֱll have a more prominent role㽶Ƶֱ but at the same time, it㽶Ƶֱs a dangerous time for parties that don㽶Ƶֱt want to sell out on promises made to their supporters.㽶Ƶֱ

All parties will have to learn to cooperate better than they did on election night itself, she noted, when Trudeau broke with tradition and began his victory speech before the other parties had finished their concession speeches on live TV.

Prest said the Liberals will likely bend to NDP pressure on social issues like Pharmacare and daycare before they let go of the Trans Mountain expansion.

㽶ƵֱThe pipeline is a sticking point, but the NDP will have to make a choice: Do they care so much about the pipeline issue they㽶Ƶֱre willing to withhold support on those other priorities?㽶Ƶֱ Prest said.

㽶ƵֱI think there will be a little of a dance and it may be an issue-by-issue parliament.㽶Ƶֱ


katya.slepian@bpdigital.ca

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