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CPP reform to help boost plan香蕉视频直播檚 assets above $15 trillion by 2090: analysis

Federal calculations follow deal last year to increase Canadians香蕉视频直播 retirement benefits
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Federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau. Image credit: The Canadian Press

OTTAWA 香蕉视频直播 The upcoming enrichment of the Canada Pension Plan will help fuel a 48-fold boost to the public fund香蕉视频直播檚 assets over the long haul 香蕉视频直播 to more than $15.8 trillion by 2090, according to federal calculations.

In comparison, the public plan香蕉视频直播檚 investment manager reported $326.5 billion in net assets at the end of the first quarter of 2017-18.

Long-term projections on the evolution of the CPP香蕉视频直播檚 post-reform assets were included in an internal briefing note prepared for federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau earlier this year. The memo referred to numbers published last October by the Office of the Chief Actuary.

The figures accounted for the impact of a CPP deal reached last year between the federal government and the provinces. They agreed to changes that will increase Canadians香蕉视频直播 retirement benefits through the public plan by raising contributions as of 2019.

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CPP reform was a key goal for Ottawa and provinces like Ontario as a way to provide more financial security for future generations of retirees.

But it has also faced significant criticism. For example, advocates for small businesses have warned it will be devastating for employers and drive up costs in what they have described as a 香蕉视频直播減ayroll tax.香蕉视频直播

The increase also means the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, which manages the CPP contributions, will be responsible for far more money over the coming decades.

Without the enhancement, the total CPP assets would have totalled $6.7 trillion in 2090, the projections said.

香蕉视频直播淎dditional CPP assets are projected to grow rapidly in the early years as a result of the high level of contributions compared to benefits paid, reaching $70 billion by 2025 and almost $1 trillion by 2045,香蕉视频直播 said the January briefing memo prepared for Morneau ahead of a scheduled meeting with CPPIB president and CEO Mark Machin.

The projections predicted the assets in the enhanced CPP portion to surpass those collected under base CPP program by 2055.

Machin has acknowledged CPPIB will have to adjust to its additional obligation of managing a much-larger envelope. The organization invests CPP assets not currently needed to pay pension, disability and survivor benefits.

香蕉视频直播淲ith or without reform, the CPP fund is projected to grow significantly in the future, and we香蕉视频直播檙e well-prepared to manage a larger fund,香蕉视频直播 Machin told MPs during his appearance at a parliamentary committee last November.

香蕉视频直播淲hen we evaluate investment programs, new processes, and supporting technology, we always want to ensure that they can be scaled to take into account increased size. We are very confident that we香蕉视频直播檒l be ready to manage the additional funds.香蕉视频直播

Machin has also stressed the importance of the arms-length CPPIB香蕉视频直播檚 independence from government influence when it comes to its decisions around investments. He香蕉视频直播檚 called that separation from potential political pressure one of the secrets to its success.

The briefing note to Morneau outlined several expected areas of focus for his meeting with Machin, including discussion about the Liberal government香蕉视频直播檚 proposed infrastructure bank.

The government香蕉视频直播檚 $35-billion infrastructure bank will seek to use public funds as leverage to attract billions more in private investment for major projects, such as new bridges, transit systems and rail lines. Ottawa has said it hopes the Canada Infrastructure Bank will entice institutional investors, such as pension plans, to participate.

The partially redacted memo to Morneau noted that Machin has emphasized the importance of CPPIB香蕉视频直播檚 independence when it comes to infrastructure investments.

The document香蕉视频直播檚 suggested speaking notes also featured an overview of the government香蕉视频直播檚 infrastructure bank and a reference to CPPIB香蕉视频直播檚 investment record when it came to infrastructure.

The document, obtained by The Canadian Press under the Access to Information Act, said CPPIB香蕉视频直播檚 infrastructure assets accounted for 7.6 per cent of its global portfolio at the time and that it held only one infrastructure asset in Canada: a stake in the Toronto region香蕉视频直播檚 407 Express Toll Route.

The memo also noted the CPPIB has looked outside Canada due to a lack of investment opportunities big enough 香蕉视频直播 Machin has said it seeks projects larger than $500 million 香蕉视频直播 and its reluctance to invest in brand-new projects that often carry more risk.

When it comes to the projected size of the CPP香蕉视频直播檚 assets in 2090, Jack Mintz, a tax-policy expert from the University of Calgary, said expected population increases and inflation should be taken into consideration.

He added that CPP reform will lift retirement benefits, but it will still be quite small when compared to Canadians香蕉视频直播 total savings.

香蕉视频直播淚t香蕉视频直播檚 an increase, but it香蕉视频直播檚 not an overwhelming increase 香蕉视频直播 it香蕉视频直播檚 kind of advertised as a bigger change than it really was.香蕉视频直播

Andy Blatchford, The Canadian Press





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